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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

16:00

Venue

Regional Sports Centre

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Drogheda United Win

32%

Waterford

3.13

30%

Draw

3.39

39%

Drogheda United

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Waterford xG

Total xG

2.46

1.30

Drogheda United xG

32%
30%
39%
WaterfordDrawDrogheda United

3.13

32%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

2.60

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

27%

Waterford

3.66

31%

Drogheda United

3.19

Win to Nil

9%

Waterford

11.44

12%

Drogheda United

8.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 11.1 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 9.9 12.9 8.4 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 5.8 7.5 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.161
λ Away (xG) 1.297
Total xG 2.458
League avg home goals 1.379
League avg away goals 1.023
Waterford attack strength 0.910
Waterford defence strength 1.334
Drogheda United attack strength 0.951
Drogheda United defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68