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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Waterford cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Cork City.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Waterford beat Cork City 2-0 at Regional Sports Centre, Regular Season - 24, in the Premier Division. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Waterford 2.21 xG and Cork City 1.43 xG, a combined 3.64. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Cork City landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Waterford attack 1.03 / defence 1.38 against Cork City attack 0.99 / defence 1.54, drawn from 59/23 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Waterford 55% | Draw 20% | Cork City 25%, with Waterford to win its most likely call at 55%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 70%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 88% and landed. Over 3.5 was 49% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 68% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Waterford 65%, Cork City 52%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 70%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Waterford's trading profile (23 games, 11 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not.

Cork City's trading profile (23 games, 11 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 83% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Waterford arrived the stronger side — 1.17 PPG against 0.65. That form edge translated into the three points. Waterford (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.18 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.82 average — tighter than their form line. Cork City (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.09 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights