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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Richmond Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

St Patrick's Athl. Win

46%

St Patrick's Athl.

2.16

28%

Draw

3.63

26%

Shamrock Rovers

3.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

St Patrick's Athl. xG

Total xG

2.33

0.96

Shamrock Rovers xG

46%
28%
26%
St Patrick's Athl.DrawShamrock Rovers

2.16

46%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

3.82

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

38%

St Patrick's Athl.

2.61

25%

Shamrock Rovers

3.94

Win to Nil

18%

St Patrick's Athl.

5.63

7%

Shamrock Rovers

15.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 9.3 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.4 12.8 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 8.8 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.2 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.370
λ Away (xG) 0.958
Total xG 2.328
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 0.998
St Patrick's Athl. attack strength 1.122
St Patrick's Athl. defence strength 0.847
Shamrock Rovers attack strength 1.132
Shamrock Rovers defence strength 0.901
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68