Most Likely Outcome
St Patrick's Athl. Win
57%
1.75
27%
3.75
16%
6.24
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.0%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.6%
Home win
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.57
St Patrick's Athl. xG
Total xG
2.28
0.71
Drogheda United xG
St Patrick's Athl.DrawDrogheda United
1.75
57%
Home win
3.75
27%
Draw
6.24
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
41%
BTTS Yes
2.44
59%
BTTS No
1.70
Clean Sheet
49%
2.04
21%
4.82
Win to Nil
28%
3.55
3%
30.09
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.2 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.0 | 11.4 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.6 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 6.6 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.573
λ Away (xG)
0.711
Total xG
2.284
League avg home goals
1.342
League avg away goals
1.098
St Patrick's Athl. attack strength
1.213
St Patrick's Athl. defence strength
0.715
Drogheda United attack strength
0.905
Drogheda United defence strength
0.967
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
41 / 41