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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Showgrounds

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sligo Rovers Win

42%

Sligo Rovers

2.35

33%

Draw

3.01

24%

Waterford

4.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Sligo Rovers xG

Total xG

2.39

1.01

Waterford xG

42%
33%
24%
Sligo RoversDrawWaterford

2.35

42%

Home win

3.01

33%

Draw

4.11

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

36%

Sligo Rovers

2.74

25%

Waterford

3.99

Win to Nil

15%

Sligo Rovers

6.45

6%

Waterford

16.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 9.2 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.7 12.8 6.4 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 8.8 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 4.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.384
λ Away (xG) 1.008
Total xG 2.392
League avg home goals 1.285
League avg away goals 1.025
Sligo Rovers attack strength 0.974
Sligo Rovers defence strength 1.008
Waterford attack strength 0.975
Waterford defence strength 1.106
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36