Most Likely Outcome
Shelbourne Win
47%
2.14
28%
3.61
26%
3.91
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.5%
Home win
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.59
Shelbourne xG
Total xG
2.71
1.12
Sligo Rovers xG
ShelbourneDrawSligo Rovers
2.14
47%
Home win
3.61
28%
Draw
3.91
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.81
45%
BTTS No
2.23
Clean Sheet
32%
3.08
20%
4.90
Win to Nil
15%
6.59
5%
19.15
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.5 | 11.8 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.4 | 9.4 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.589
λ Away (xG)
1.125
Total xG
2.714
League avg home goals
1.518
League avg away goals
1.306
Shelbourne attack strength
0.926
Shelbourne defence strength
1.137
Sligo Rovers attack strength
0.758
Sligo Rovers defence strength
1.131
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 60