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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at Shamrock Rovers's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shamrock Rovers and Galway United finished level at 0-0 at Tallaght Stadium, Regular Season - 18, in the Premier Division. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Shamrock Rovers 1.87 xG and Galway United 0.86 xG, a combined 2.73. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Shamrock Rovers fell 1.9 short of their projected output. Galway United landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Shamrock Rovers attack 1.42 / defence 0.78 against Galway United attack 0.96 / defence 0.96, drawn from 54/53 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Shamrock Rovers 61% | Draw 22% | Galway United 17%, with Shamrock Rovers to win its most likely call at 61%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 22% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 76% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 35% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Shamrock Rovers 47%, Galway United 22%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Shamrock Rovers's trading profile (36 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.

Galway United's trading profile (36 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 36% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 36% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Shamrock Rovers 1.69 PPG, Galway United 1.44 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Shamrock Rovers (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.67 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Galway United (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.89 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 0.94 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights