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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Shamrock Rovers run riot with a 4-1 hammering of Cork City.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Shamrock Rovers beat Cork City 4-1 at Tallaght Stadium, Regular Season - 2, in the Premier Division. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Shamrock Rovers 1.48 xG and Cork City 0.62 xG, a combined 2.10. The scoreboard read 4-1 for 5 actual goals. Shamrock Rovers beat their projection by 2.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Shamrock Rovers attack 0.99 / defence 0.68 against Cork City attack 0.85 / defence 1.25, drawn from 44/8 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Shamrock Rovers 58% | Draw 27% | Cork City 15%, with Shamrock Rovers to win its most likely call at 58%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 35%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 62% and landed. Over 3.5 was 16% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 36% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Shamrock Rovers 49%, Cork City 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Shamrock Rovers's trading profile (37 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here.

Cork City's trading profile (37 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Shamrock Rovers arrived the stronger side — 1.73 PPG against 0.84. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Shamrock Rovers (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.79 average — above their attacking norm. Cork City (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 2.42 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights