Most Likely Outcome
Galway United Win
51%
1.96
30%
3.31
19%
5.29
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.4%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
2 – 0
10.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.51
Galway United xG
Total xG
2.35
0.84
Dundalk xG
Galway UnitedDrawDundalk
1.96
51%
Home win
3.31
30%
Draw
5.29
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
42%
Over 2.5
2.38
58%
Under 2.5
1.72
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.16
54%
BTTS No
1.86
Clean Sheet
43%
2.32
22%
4.52
Win to Nil
22%
4.55
4%
23.94
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.4 | 12.1 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.9 | 9.1 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.509
λ Away (xG)
0.841
Total xG
2.350
League avg home goals
1.297
League avg away goals
1.023
Galway United attack strength
0.874
Galway United defence strength
0.908
Dundalk attack strength
0.906
Dundalk defence strength
1.331
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
40 / 4