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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Weavers Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Drogheda United Win

39%

Drogheda United

2.53

30%

Draw

3.28

30%

Derry City

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Drogheda United xG

Total xG

2.31

1.06

Derry City xG

39%
30%
30%
Drogheda UnitedDrawDerry City

2.53

39%

Home win

3.28

30%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

35%

Drogheda United

2.89

29%

Derry City

3.50

Win to Nil

14%

Drogheda United

7.31

9%

Derry City

11.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 10.5 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.4 13.1 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.8 8.2 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.2 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.252
λ Away (xG) 1.060
Total xG 2.312
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.035
Drogheda United attack strength 0.890
Drogheda United defence strength 0.856
Derry City attack strength 1.197
Derry City defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67