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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

43%

Derry City

2.32

27%

Draw

3.76

30%

Shelbourne

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Derry City xG

Total xG

2.56

1.14

Shelbourne xG

43%
27%
30%
Derry CityDrawShelbourne

2.32

43%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

32%

Derry City

3.14

24%

Shelbourne

4.12

Win to Nil

14%

Derry City

7.28

7%

Shelbourne

13.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 8.9 5.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 11.0 12.5 7.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 8.9 5.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.7 4.2 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.415
λ Away (xG) 1.143
Total xG 2.558
League avg home goals 1.355
League avg away goals 1.044
Derry City attack strength 1.221
Derry City defence strength 1.028
Shelbourne attack strength 1.065
Shelbourne defence strength 0.855
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 64