Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 13 Jun 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

41%

Derry City

2.42

29%

Draw

3.41

29%

Galway United

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Derry City xG

Total xG

2.14

0.95

Galway United xG

41%
29%
29%
Derry CityDrawGalway United

2.42

41%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

39%

Derry City

2.59

30%

Galway United

3.28

Win to Nil

16%

Derry City

6.28

9%

Galway United

11.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 11.2 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.0 13.3 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.3 7.9 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.3 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.188
λ Away (xG) 0.953
Total xG 2.141
League avg home goals 1.343
League avg away goals 1.131
Derry City attack strength 1.042
Derry City defence strength 0.932
Galway United attack strength 0.904
Galway United defence strength 0.849
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54