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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derry City Win

38%

Derry City

2.65

31%

Draw

3.21

31%

Galway United

3.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Derry City xG

Total xG

2.33

1.09

Galway United xG

38%
31%
31%
Derry CityDrawGalway United

2.65

38%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.22

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

33%

Derry City

2.99

29%

Galway United

3.43

Win to Nil

13%

Derry City

7.91

9%

Galway United

11.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 10.7 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.0 13.2 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.4 8.1 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.0 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.232
λ Away (xG) 1.095
Total xG 2.327
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.053
Derry City attack strength 0.908
Derry City defence strength 0.966
Galway United attack strength 1.076
Galway United defence strength 0.958
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40