🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Stalemate at Cork City's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Cork City and St Patrick's Athl. finished level at 0-0 at Turners Cross, Regular Season - 22, in the Premier Division. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Cork City 1.16 xG and St Patrick's Athl. 1.16 xG, a combined 2.32. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Cork City fell 1.2 short of their projected output. St Patrick's Athl. landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Cork City attack 0.80 / defence 1.22 against St Patrick's Athl. attack 0.87 / defence 1.08, drawn from 21/59 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Cork City 36% | Draw 28% | St Patrick's Athl. 36%, with Cork City to win its most likely call at 36%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 67% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 55% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Cork City 54%, St Patrick's Athl. 57%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Cork City's trading profile (37 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 35% of games, a blank that repeated today.

St Patrick's Athl.'s trading profile (37 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 51% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 32% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, St Patrick's Athl. arrived the stronger side — 1.59 PPG against 0.84. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Cork City (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.11 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.11 average — tighter than their form line. St Patrick's Athl. (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.22 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.11 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights