🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Bohemians cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Cork City.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Bohemians beat Cork City 0-2 at Turners Cross, Regular Season - 19, in the Premier Division. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Cork City 1.04 xG and Bohemians 1.30 xG, a combined 2.34. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Cork City fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Cork City attack 0.87 / defence 1.17 against Bohemians attack 0.99 / defence 0.90, drawn from 18/54 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Cork City 30% | Draw 28% | Bohemians 42%, with Bohemians to win its most likely call at 42%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 42%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 47% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Cork City 54%, Bohemians 38%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Cork City's trading profile (37 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 35% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Bohemians's trading profile (37 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Cork City 0.84 PPG, Bohemians 1.22 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Bohemians win broke the near-deadlock. Cork City (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.11 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.11 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Bohemians (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.17 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights