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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Galway United cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Bohemians.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Galway United beat Bohemians 0-2 at Dalymount Park, Regular Season - 7, in the Premier Division. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Bohemians 1.08 xG and Galway United 1.04 xG, a combined 2.12. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Bohemians fell 1.1 short of their projected output. Galway United outscored their 1.04 projection by 1.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Bohemians attack 0.87 / defence 0.97 against Galway United attack 1.06 / defence 1.00, drawn from 42/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Bohemians 36% | Draw 30% | Galway United 34%, with Bohemians to win its most likely call at 36%. The actual Galway United win had been the model's second-ranked read at 34%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 36%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 63% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 43% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 29% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Bohemians 36%, Galway United 22%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 46%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Bohemians's trading profile (36 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 25% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Galway United's trading profile (36 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 36% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 44% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Bohemians 1.17 PPG, Galway United 1.44 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Galway United win broke the near-deadlock. Bohemians (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward. Galway United (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.89 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 0.94 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights