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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier Division · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 30 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Dalymount Park

Competition

Premier Division

Ireland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bohemians Win

39%

Bohemians

2.58

28%

Draw

3.56

33%

Derry City

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Bohemians xG

Total xG

2.33

1.11

Derry City xG

39%
28%
33%
BohemiansDrawDerry City

2.58

39%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

33%

Bohemians

3.04

29%

Derry City

3.40

Win to Nil

13%

Bohemians

7.84

10%

Derry City

10.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 10.8 6.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.9 13.2 7.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.2 8.1 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.0 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.223
λ Away (xG) 1.111
Total xG 2.334
League avg home goals 1.376
League avg away goals 1.158
Bohemians attack strength 0.931
Bohemians defence strength 0.957
Derry City attack strength 1.003
Derry City defence strength 0.955
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53