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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Sunday 16 May 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

18 matches clear our threshold on Sunday 16 May 2027. Real Madrid vs Racing Santander tops the list at 88% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
– : – 15:00
Racing Santander
Win 88%
Draw 9%
Win 3%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
– : – 12:30
Willem II
Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
– : – 11:30
Karlsruher SC
Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 60%
#4 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
– : – 15:00
Le Mans
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 56%
#5 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
– : – 12:30
NEC Nijmegen
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
– : – 11:00
Rasi Salai United
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Levante
– : – 15:00
Getafe
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
– : – 11:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
BTTS No 56%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
– : – 15:00
SC Braga
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 57%
#10 Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
– : – 15:00
Estac Troyes
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
BTTS No 55%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
– : – 15:00
Rayo Vallecano
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
– : – 15:00
Angers
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#13 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
– : – 11:30
VfL Bochum
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
– : – 11:30
Sukhothai FC
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
– : – 16:30
Genoa
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#16 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
– : – 11:30
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 70%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Çorum FK
– : – 12:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
– : – 16:30
Venezia
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 16 May 2027?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Racing Santander at 88% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.