Sign in Register
🏠

Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Saturday 17 April 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

20 matches clear our threshold on Saturday 17 April 2027. Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim tops the list at 85% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 64%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
– : – 13:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 85%
Draw 9%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 88% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
– : – 13:30
1. FC Köln
Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 76%
#3 Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
– : – 15:00
Bukovyna
Win 80%
Draw 16%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS No 58% Polessya Clean Sheet 57%
#4 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
– : – 15:00
Antwerp
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
– : – 18:00
Seraing United
Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 League One · England
Huddersfield
– : – 14:00
Bromley
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
– : – 15:00
Lommel United
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
– : – 14:30
MVV
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 70%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
– : – 12:30
Rasi Salai United
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 73%
#10 Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
– : – 15:00
Estac Troyes
Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 63% Rennes Clean Sheet 56%
#11 Premier League · England
Brighton
– : – 14:00
Chelsea
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
– : – 15:00
Anderlecht
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 65%
#13 Championship · England
Swansea
– : – 14:00
Derby
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#14 Championship · England
Birmingham
– : – 14:00
Wrexham
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#15 League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
– : – 11:30
AFC Wimbledon
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
– : – 13:00
Sigma Olomouc
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
– : – 15:00
Le Mans
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
– : – 13:30
SC Paderborn 07
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
– : – 15:00
Fakel
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
BTTS No 54%
#20 Premier League · England
Manchester City
– : – 14:00
Crystal Palace
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 17 April 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs 1899 Hoffenheim at 85% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.