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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Wednesday 29 October 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 29 October 2025. Marseille vs Angers led the list at 83% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the home win market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
2 : 2 FT
Angers
Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
1 : 3 FT
Servette FC
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
3 : 0 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
0 : 0 FT
Torino
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Como
3 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
2 : 2 FT
Rennes
Win 57%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Galway United
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 7 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Wednesday 29 October 2025?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Marseille vs Angers at 83% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.