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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 13 April 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 13 April 2025. The strongest reading belongs to FK Jablonec vs Pardubice at 78% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the home win market — 64%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 0 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
2 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
BTTS No 56%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
2 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 65%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Fiorentina Clean Sheet 55%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Liège
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
2 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 53%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
2 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 11 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 13 April 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by FK Jablonec vs Pardubice at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.