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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 26 May 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Sunday 26 May 2024. Fenerbahçe vs İstanbulspor sits top on 78% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Thai League 1 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the home win market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
6 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
4 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
8 : 2 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
4 : 2 FT
Police Tero
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
3 : 0 FT
Uthai Thani
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
BTTS No 53%
#7 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
7 : 0 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
3 : 2 FT
Trat FC
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
4 : 1 FT
EIF
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
1 : 1 FT
Valour
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
5 : 2 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
4 : 2 FT
Ankaragücü
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
3 : 0 FT
Torino
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 13 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 26 May 2024?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fenerbahçe vs İstanbulspor at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.