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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Monday 29 May 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Monday 29 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur at 81% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the home win market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
2 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 73%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
4 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 1 FT
Viking
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
4 : 0 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 6 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Monday 29 May 2023?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur at 81% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.