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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Wednesday 24 May 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists five fixtures on Wednesday 24 May 2023. Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano led the list at 77% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 58%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the home win market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
1 : 2 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 5 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Wednesday 24 May 2023?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano at 77% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.