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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Monday 24 October 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 24 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Djurgardens IF vs GIF Sundsvall at 82% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the home win market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
4 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
7 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 57%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
2 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
2 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 6 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Monday 24 October 2022?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Djurgardens IF vs GIF Sundsvall at 82% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.