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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 15 October 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 15 October 2022. BK Hacken vs GIF Sundsvall sits top on 79% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the home win market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
4 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
3 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
4 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Al Shabab Clean Sheet 60%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
2 : 2 FT
Elche
Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
5 : 2 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
3 : 2 FT
FC Orenburg
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#8 League One Β· England
Ipswich
0 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
2 : 3 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
3 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
3 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 71%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
1 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
3 : 3 FT
Blackpool
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
2 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 1 FT
Levadiakos
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 30%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 63% Volos NFC Clean Sheet 56%
#17 Premier League Β· England
Fulham
2 : 2 FT
Bournemouth
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
0 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#19 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
1 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#20 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
1 : 0 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 15 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by BK Hacken vs GIF Sundsvall at 79% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.