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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 7 May 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 7 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bristol Rovers vs Scunthorpe at 70% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the home win market — 64%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England
Bristol Rovers
7 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
1 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
1 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
1 : 0 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Toulouse
2 : 1 FT
Nimes
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
1 : 2 FT
America Mineiro
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 55%
#7 Championship Β· England
Luton
1 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
2 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
3 : 1 FT
Göztepe
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#11 League Two Β· England
Newport County
0 : 2 FT
Rochdale
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%

Showing top 11 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 7 May 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Bristol Rovers vs Scunthorpe at 70% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.