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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Olympiakos Piraeus cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Volos NFC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Olympiakos Piraeus beat Volos NFC 0-2 at Panthessaliko Stadium, Regular Season - 2, in the Super League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Volos NFC 1.16 xG and Olympiakos Piraeus 1.10 xG, a combined 2.26. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Volos NFC fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Olympiakos Piraeus outscored their 1.10 projection by 0.9. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Volos NFC attack 0.96 / defence 1.06 against Olympiakos Piraeus attack 1.08 / defence 0.91, drawn from 27/27 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Volos NFC 37% | Draw 29% | Olympiakos Piraeus 34%, with Volos NFC to win its most likely call at 37%. The actual Olympiakos Piraeus win had been the model's second-ranked read at 34%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 66% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Volos NFC 48%, Olympiakos Piraeus 46%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Volos NFC's trading profile (33 games, 16 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 42% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 39% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Olympiakos Piraeus's trading profile (33 games, 16 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 52% of the time, and duly kept one.

Form vs Result

On form, Olympiakos Piraeus arrived the stronger side — 2.36 PPG against 1.09. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Volos NFC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.94 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 2 against a 1.19 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights