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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Toumba Stadium

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAOK Win

59%

PAOK

1.70

24%

Draw

4.20

17%

Larisa

5.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

PAOK xG

Total xG

2.49

0.80

Larisa xG

59%
24%
17%
PAOKDrawLarisa

1.70

59%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

5.75

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

45%

PAOK

2.22

18%

Larisa

5.45

Win to Nil

26%

PAOK

3.77

3%

Larisa

31.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 6.6 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 14.0 11.2 4.5 1.2 0.2
2 11.9 9.5 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 6.7 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.8 2.3 0.9 0.2
5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.696
λ Away (xG) 0.797
Total xG 2.493
League avg home goals 1.345
League avg away goals 0.939
PAOK attack strength 1.097
PAOK defence strength 0.999
Larisa attack strength 0.850
Larisa defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 0