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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Levadiakos cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Panetolikos.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Levadiakos beat Panetolikos 1-3 at Panetolikos Stadium, Regular Season - 17, in the Super League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Panetolikos 1.05 xG and Levadiakos 1.86 xG, a combined 2.91. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Levadiakos outscored their 1.86 projection by 1.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Panetolikos attack 0.82 / defence 1.43 against Levadiakos attack 1.20 / defence 0.87, drawn from 42/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Panetolikos 21% | Draw 23% | Levadiakos 56%, with Levadiakos to win its most likely call at 56%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 56%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. Over 3.5 was 33% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 55% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 43% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Panetolikos 31%, Levadiakos 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 44%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Panetolikos's trading profile (52 games, 25 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 31% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here.

Levadiakos's trading profile (52 games, 25 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Panetolikos 1.21 PPG, Levadiakos 1.56 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Levadiakos win broke the near-deadlock. Panetolikos (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.28 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Levadiakos (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.48 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights