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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Championship Group - 3

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Olympic Stadium of Athens

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Panathinaikos Win

40%

Panathinaikos

2.48

29%

Draw

3.40

30%

AEK Athens FC

3.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Panathinaikos xG

Total xG

2.71

1.25

AEK Athens FC xG

40%
29%
30%
PanathinaikosDrawAEK Athens FC

2.48

40%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

3.31

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

29%

Panathinaikos

3.48

23%

AEK Athens FC

4.34

Win to Nil

12%

Panathinaikos

8.62

7%

AEK Athens FC

14.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.3 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.7 12.1 7.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.1 8.9 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.5 4.3 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.467
λ Away (xG) 1.246
Total xG 2.713
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.065
Panathinaikos attack strength 1.272
Panathinaikos defence strength 0.878
AEK Athens FC attack strength 1.333
AEK Athens FC defence strength 0.883
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52