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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Conference League Play-off Group - 5

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

OFI Win

46%

OFI

2.17

24%

Draw

4.11

30%

Aris Thessalonikis

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

OFI xG

Total xG

2.89

1.26

Aris Thessalonikis xG

46%
24%
30%
OFIDrawAris Thessalonikis

2.17

46%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

3.39

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.74

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

28%

OFI

3.52

20%

Aris Thessalonikis

5.11

Win to Nil

13%

OFI

7.64

6%

Aris Thessalonikis

17.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 7.0 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.1 11.4 7.2 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.3 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.0 5.1 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.632
λ Away (xG) 1.259
Total xG 2.891
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 1.093
OFI attack strength 1.122
OFI defence strength 1.190
Aris Thessalonikis attack strength 0.968
Aris Thessalonikis defence strength 1.146
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52