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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Levadiakos edge out Kifisia 3-2.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Levadiakos beat Kifisia 3-2 at Levadia Stadium, Regular Season - 1, in the Super League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Levadiakos 1.48 xG and Kifisia 0.78 xG, a combined 2.26. The scoreboard read 3-2 for 5 actual goals. Levadiakos beat their projection by 1.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Kifisia outscored their 0.78 projection by 1.2. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Levadiakos attack 1.01 / defence 1.05 against Kifisia attack 0.85 / defence 1.15, drawn from 26/0 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Levadiakos 54% | Draw 26% | Kifisia 20%, with Levadiakos to win its most likely call at 54%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 39%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 66% and landed. Over 3.5 was 19% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 42% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights