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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Relegation Group - 7

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

15:00

Venue

AEL FC Arena

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Larisa Win

38%

Larisa

2.63

33%

Draw

3.05

29%

Asteras Tripolis

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Larisa xG

Total xG

2.26

1.04

Asteras Tripolis xG

38%
33%
29%
LarisaDrawAsteras Tripolis

2.63

38%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

35%

Larisa

2.84

30%

Asteras Tripolis

3.38

Win to Nil

13%

Larisa

7.47

9%

Asteras Tripolis

11.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 10.9 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.7 13.2 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.7 8.1 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.218
λ Away (xG) 1.043
Total xG 2.261
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.065
Larisa attack strength 0.783
Larisa defence strength 1.250
Asteras Tripolis attack strength 0.783
Asteras Tripolis defence strength 1.192
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 52