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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Kifisia cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Volos NFC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kifisia beat Volos NFC 2-0 at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Regular Season - 25, in the Super League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kifisia 1.26 xG and Volos NFC 1.19 xG, a combined 2.45. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Volos NFC landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kifisia attack 0.83 / defence 1.26 against Volos NFC attack 0.84 / defence 1.14, drawn from 24/50 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kifisia 37% | Draw 30% | Volos NFC 33%, with Kifisia to win its most likely call at 37%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 44%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kifisia 58%, Volos NFC 46%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kifisia's trading profile (24 games, 12 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 71% of their matches — today it did not.

Volos NFC's trading profile (24 games, 12 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Kifisia 1.00 PPG, Volos NFC 1.17 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Kifisia win broke the near-deadlock. Kifisia (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line. Volos NFC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights