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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Olympiakos Piraeus cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Kifisia.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Olympiakos Piraeus beat Kifisia 1-3 at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Regular Season - 10, in the Super League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kifisia 1.10 xG and Olympiakos Piraeus 1.82 xG, a combined 2.92. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Olympiakos Piraeus outscored their 1.82 projection by 1.2. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kifisia attack 0.93 / defence 1.32 against Olympiakos Piraeus attack 1.11 / defence 0.81, drawn from 9/35 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kifisia 22% | Draw 24% | Olympiakos Piraeus 54%, with Olympiakos Piraeus to win its most likely call at 54%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 56%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 79% and landed. Over 3.5 was 33% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 56% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 56% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kifisia 67%, Olympiakos Piraeus 44%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 67%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kifisia's trading profile (9 games, 4 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 89% of their matches — today it did.

Olympiakos Piraeus's trading profile (9 games, 4 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 56% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

On form, Olympiakos Piraeus arrived the stronger side — 2.44 PPG against 1.33. That form edge translated into the three points. Kifisia (home/away splits) shipped 3 against a 1.75 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Olympiakos Piraeus (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.50 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights