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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Kallithea and Volos NFC share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Kallithea and Volos NFC finished level at 1-1 at Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis, Relegation Round - 1, in the Super League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Kallithea 1.32 xG and Volos NFC 1.15 xG, a combined 2.48. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Kallithea attack 0.91 / defence 1.30 against Volos NFC attack 0.81 / defence 1.14, drawn from 26/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Kallithea 41% | Draw 27% | Volos NFC 32%, with Kallithea to win its most likely call at 41%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Kallithea 50%, Volos NFC 42%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Kallithea's trading profile (26 games, 13 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.

Volos NFC's trading profile (26 games, 13 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Kallithea 0.81 PPG, Volos NFC 0.85 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights