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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Atromitos run riot with a 6-0 hammering of Panserraikos.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Atromitos beat Panserraikos 6-0 at Peristeri Stadium, Relegation Group - 10, in the Super League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Atromitos 1.45 xG and Panserraikos 0.94 xG, a combined 2.39. The scoreboard read 6-0 for 6 actual goals. Atromitos beat their projection by 4.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Panserraikos landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Atromitos attack 0.93 / defence 1.07 against Panserraikos attack 0.82 / defence 1.21, drawn from 52/52 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Atromitos 47% | Draw 31% | Panserraikos 22%, with Atromitos to win its most likely call at 47%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 71% and landed. Over 3.5 was 22% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Atromitos 51%, Panserraikos 57%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Atromitos's trading profile (67 games, 33 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not.

Panserraikos's trading profile (67 games, 33 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 42% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Atromitos 1.28 PPG, Panserraikos 0.97 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Atromitos win broke the near-deadlock. Atromitos (home/away splits) scored 6 against a 1.00 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.24 average — tighter than their form line. Panserraikos (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.82 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 6 against a 1.94 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights