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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Atromitos and Levadiakos share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Atromitos and Levadiakos finished level at 2-2 at Peristeri Stadium, Regular Season - 7, in the Super League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Atromitos 1.35 xG and Levadiakos 1.48 xG, a combined 2.83. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Atromitos attack 0.87 / defence 1.09 against Levadiakos attack 1.10 / defence 1.04, drawn from 32/32 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Atromitos 35% | Draw 25% | Levadiakos 40%, with Levadiakos to win its most likely call at 40%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 25% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 54%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. Over 3.5 was 31% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 57% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Atromitos 45%, Levadiakos 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 57%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Atromitos's trading profile (38 games, 18 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did.

Levadiakos's trading profile (38 games, 18 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Atromitos 1.26 PPG, Levadiakos 1.53 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Atromitos (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.89 average — above their attacking norm. Levadiakos (home/away splits) shipped 2 against a 1.17 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights