Atromitos vs Levadiakos – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Working from Atromitos's attack rating (0.94) and Levadiakos's defence rating (1.26), the model arrives at 1.48 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Levadiakos's attack versus Atromitos's defence, projects 1.43 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 37/11 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.0%. Close behind: 2-1 (8.5%), 1-2 (8.3%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Atromitos Win
38%
2.60
25%
3.97
36%
2.75
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.5%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.5%
Home win
1 – 2
8.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.48
Atromitos xG
Total xG
2.91
1.43
Levadiakos xG
2.60
38%
Home win
3.97
25%
Draw
2.75
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.70
41%
BTTS No
2.43
Clean Sheet
24%
4.18
23%
4.37
Win to Nil
9%
10.88
8%
12.01
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 7.8 | 5.6 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 11.5 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.0 | 8.5 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Atromitos vs Levadiakos?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.0%.
How many goals are Atromitos and Levadiakos expected to score?
The model projects 1.48 expected goals for Atromitos and 1.43 for Levadiakos, a combined total of 2.91.
How confident is the prediction model for Atromitos vs Levadiakos?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.