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Super League 1 · Relegation Group - 2

Kick-off

Wed 8 Apr 2026

17:00

Venue

Peristeri Stadium

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT
📰

Stalemate at Atromitos's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Atromitos and Kifisia finished level at 0-0 at Peristeri Stadium, Relegation Group - 2, in the Super League 1. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Atromitos 1.59 xG and Kifisia 0.95 xG, a combined 2.55. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Atromitos fell 1.6 short of their projected output. Kifisia landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Atromitos attack 0.90 / defence 1.08 against Kifisia attack 0.83 / defence 1.35, drawn from 52/26 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Atromitos 50% | Draw 29% | Kifisia 21%, with Atromitos to win its most likely call at 50%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 74% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Atromitos 41%, Kifisia 59%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Atromitos's trading profile (27 games, 13 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Kifisia's trading profile (27 games, 13 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Atromitos 1.11 PPG, Kifisia 1.00 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Atromitos (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.31 average — tighter than their form line. Kifisia (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.15 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.85 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights

Model Over/Under 2.5 landed as modelled — 47% Over 2.5 probability, 0 goals scored.
Model BTTS bucked the model — 51% projected, one side was shut out.
Trading Trading data bucked — 50% historical Over 2.5 rate, but the game stayed under.

⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.