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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Aris Thessalonikis cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Volos NFC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Aris Thessalonikis beat Volos NFC 2-0 at Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium, Regular Season - 1, in the Super League 1. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Aris Thessalonikis 1.33 xG and Volos NFC 0.98 xG, a combined 2.31. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Volos NFC landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Aris Thessalonikis attack 0.98 / defence 0.94 against Volos NFC attack 0.96 / defence 1.03, drawn from 26/26 games (PrevSeason).

On the result, the model split it Aris Thessalonikis 45% | Draw 28% | Volos NFC 28%, with Aris Thessalonikis to win its most likely call at 45%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 67% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Aris Thessalonikis 34%, Volos NFC 50%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 47%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Aris Thessalonikis's trading profile (32 games, 16 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 41% of the time, and duly kept one.

Volos NFC's trading profile (32 games, 16 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 38% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Aris Thessalonikis arrived the stronger side — 1.75 PPG against 1.12. That form edge translated into the three points. Volos NFC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.19 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 4 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights