Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Championship Round - 5

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

18:00

Venue

OPAP Arena

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AEK Athens FC Win

59%

AEK Athens FC

1.70

24%

Draw

4.19

17%

Panathinaikos

5.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

AEK Athens FC xG

Total xG

2.48

0.79

Panathinaikos xG

59%
24%
17%
AEK Athens FCDrawPanathinaikos

1.70

59%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

5.81

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

45%

AEK Athens FC

2.20

18%

Panathinaikos

5.42

Win to Nil

27%

AEK Athens FC

3.73

3%

Panathinaikos

31.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 6.6 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 14.2 11.2 4.4 1.2 0.2
2 12.0 9.4 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 6.8 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.9 2.3 0.9 0.2
5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.691
λ Away (xG) 0.788
Total xG 2.479
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 1.093
AEK Athens FC attack strength 1.282
AEK Athens FC defence strength 0.754
Panathinaikos attack strength 0.955
Panathinaikos defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52