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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 10 November 2024

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 10 November 2024. FC Schalke 04 vs SSV Jahn Regensburg sits top on 5.40 in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 5.40 down to 3.19, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the goal fest market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
2 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 12%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 90% BTTS Yes 78%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
2 : 1 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
1 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
1 : 1 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 2 FT
Fredrikstad
Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
Win 24%
Draw 21%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 3 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
2 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
3 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
2 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 4 FT
Feyenoord
Win 10%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Barcelona
Win 12%
Draw 18%
Win 70%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia
Akhmat
1 : 2 FT
Zenit
Win 7%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#15 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
5 : 2 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#16 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
3 : 0 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
0 : 0 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
0 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 26%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
3 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 10 November 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Schalke 04 vs SSV Jahn Regensburg at 5.40 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.