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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Monday 29 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Monday 29 May 2023. FC ST. Gallen vs FC Sion led the list at 3.79 in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 3.79 down to 2.51, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the goal fest market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
4 : 0 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
2 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 73%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
0 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
4 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Degerfors IF
1 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 1 FT
Viking
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
0 : 0 FT
Valour
Win 10%
Draw 23%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 League One Β· England
Barnsley
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
0 : 0 FT
Lillestrom
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
3 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
3 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
0 : 2 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
5 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 14 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Monday 29 May 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC ST. Gallen vs FC Sion at 3.79 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.