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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

Weserstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Leipzig Win

23%

Werder Bremen

4.37

26%

Draw

3.90

51%

RB Leipzig

1.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

0 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Werder Bremen xG

Total xG

2.52

1.56

RB Leipzig xG

23%
26%
51%
Werder BremenDrawRB Leipzig

4.37

23%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

1.94

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

21%

Werder Bremen

4.78

39%

RB Leipzig

2.59

Win to Nil

5%

Werder Bremen

20.88

20%

RB Leipzig

5.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 12.6 9.9 5.2 2.0 0.6
1 7.7 12.0 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 3.7 5.7 4.5 2.3 0.9 0.3
3 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.952
λ Away (xG) 1.564
Total xG 2.516
League avg home goals 1.692
League avg away goals 1.393
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.692
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.134
RB Leipzig attack strength 0.990
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.813
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61