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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

Weserstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Werder Bremen Win

42%

Werder Bremen

2.36

26%

Draw

3.86

32%

Hamburger SV

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Werder Bremen xG

Total xG

2.65

1.21

Hamburger SV xG

42%
26%
32%
Werder BremenDrawHamburger SV

2.36

42%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

30%

Werder Bremen

3.34

24%

Hamburger SV

4.22

Win to Nil

13%

Werder Bremen

7.88

7%

Hamburger SV

13.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 8.6 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.2
1 10.2 12.3 7.4 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 8.9 5.4 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 3.5 4.3 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.440
λ Away (xG) 1.207
Total xG 2.647
League avg home goals 1.696
League avg away goals 1.449
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.713
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.116
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.747
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.190
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 29