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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

16:30

Venue

Weserstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Werder Bremen Win

42%

Werder Bremen

2.38

27%

Draw

3.71

31%

FC St. Pauli

3.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Werder Bremen xG

Total xG

2.66

1.21

FC St. Pauli xG

42%
27%
31%
Werder BremenDrawFC St. Pauli

2.38

42%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

3.23

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

30%

Werder Bremen

3.35

23%

FC St. Pauli

4.26

Win to Nil

13%

Werder Bremen

7.95

7%

FC St. Pauli

13.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 8.5 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.2
1 10.2 12.3 7.4 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 8.9 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.6 4.3 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.449
λ Away (xG) 1.208
Total xG 2.657
League avg home goals 1.519
League avg away goals 1.428
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.958
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.084
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.781
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.996
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 30