Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

14:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

50%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.00

23%

Draw

4.43

27%

RB Leipzig

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

3.25

1.35

RB Leipzig xG

50%
23%
27%
VfL WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig

2.00

50%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.71

Clean Sheet

26%

VfL Wolfsburg

3.88

15%

RB Leipzig

6.64

Win to Nil

13%

VfL Wolfsburg

7.76

4%

RB Leipzig

24.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.3 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 7.4 10.0 6.8 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.4 6.0 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.1 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.893
λ Away (xG) 1.355
Total xG 3.248
League avg home goals 1.701
League avg away goals 1.635
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 1.016
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.061
RB Leipzig attack strength 0.781
RB Leipzig defence strength 1.095
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38