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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 24 Jan 2025

19:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

65%

VfL Wolfsburg

1.54

16%

Draw

6.23

19%

Holstein Kiel

5.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.0%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.0%

Home win

3 – 2

5.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.02

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

4.70

1.68

Holstein Kiel xG

65%
16%
19%
VfL WolfsburgDrawHolstein Kiel

1.54

65%

Home win

6.23

16%

Draw

5.24

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

95%

Over 1.5

1.05

5%

Under 1.5

20.00

85%

Over 2.5

1.18

15%

Under 2.5

6.67

69%

Over 3.5

1.45

31%

Under 3.5

3.23

50%

Over 4.5

2.00

50%

Under 4.5

2.00

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

77%

BTTS Yes

1.29

23%

BTTS No

4.42

Clean Sheet

19%

VfL Wolfsburg

5.34

5%

Holstein Kiel

20.51

Win to Nil

12%

VfL Wolfsburg

8.23

1%

Holstein Kiel

107.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
1 2.8 4.6 3.9 2.2 0.9 0.3
2 4.2 7.0 5.8 3.3 1.4 0.5
3 4.2 7.0 5.9 3.3 1.4 0.5
4 3.2 5.3 4.4 2.5 1.0 0.3
5 1.9 3.2 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.021
λ Away (xG) 1.675
Total xG 4.696
League avg home goals 1.788
League avg away goals 1.449
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 1.201
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.241
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.932
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.407
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 18